Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.018889 0.024007 0.030904 0.041243 0.057064 0.081754 0.126594
2024-12-22 0.013285 0.018651 0.027076 0.042443 0.073115 0.142282 0.365945
2024-12-29 0.010486 0.015613 0.024457 0.042859 0.087732 0.228512 1.160138
2025-01-05 0.008468 0.013069 0.021484 0.040582 0.094371 0.316763 3.901097
2025-01-12 0.007208 0.011455 0.019612 0.039581 0.103903 0.461533 33.974306
2025-01-19 0.006586 0.010821 0.019430 0.042522 0.131141 0.915790 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006219 0.010569 0.019952 0.047759 0.179445 2.643448 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005894 0.010325 0.020407 0.053269 0.247839 13.180294 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005393 0.009613 0.019524 0.053763 0.289227 78.121394 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004979 0.009016 0.018775 0.054399 0.339656 158151.418527 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004606 0.008453 0.017980 0.054447 0.390794 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004176 0.007700 0.016512 0.050859 0.386245 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003832 0.007156 0.015662 0.050415 0.446632 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003579 0.006790 0.015257 0.052063 0.576734 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003334 0.006405 0.014697 0.052618 0.714559 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003049 0.005883 0.013605 0.049602 0.731556 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002832 0.005503 0.012879 0.048282 0.813662 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002733 0.005399 0.012996 0.052170 1.267728 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002682 0.005405 0.013480 0.059169 2.599552 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002627 0.005392 0.013902 0.066633 6.418130 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002497 0.005165 0.013507 0.067307 10.189222 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002381 0.004962 0.013159 0.068175 18.029989 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002268 0.004755 0.012754 0.068240 32.316145 NaN NaN